Critical Thinking - Lecture 3
Background Material for the Exercise on Analyzing a More Complex Argument
Extracting an Argument from a Text
1. An Overview
How does one extract an argument from a passage, and then formulate that argument in a complete and explicit fashion? In outline, the answer is as follows:
(1) First, look for inference indicators in the passage.
(2) Secondly, ask yourself, with regard to each inference indicator, which type of inference indicator it is. Is it of the same type as "therefore" - where the inference indictor is followed by the conclusion, and preceded by one or more premises:
[Premise - Inference Indicator - Conclusion]
Or is it of the same type as "since" or "because" - where the inference indictor is followed by one or more premises, and where the conclusion either precedes the inference indicator, or else follows the premise:
[Conclusion - Inference Indicator - Premise]
[Inference Indicator - Premise - Conclusion]
(3) Having decided upon the type of inference indicator that is involved, you can then make use of the information to arrive at the relevant conclusion, together with at least one of the premises involved in the inference, since if the inference indicator is of the same type as "therefore", the conclusion will follow the inference indicator, while the premise will precede the inference indicator, and if the inference indicator is instead of the same type as "since", what follows the inference indicator will be a premise, and the conclusion will either precede the inference indicator, or else come after the premise.
(4) Inferences usually involve two premises. Consequently, there will usually be one more premise that one needs to identify. So scan the text in the vicinity of the inference indicator to see if there is another statement that it appears the author is using, in conjunction with the premise already identified, to generate the conclusion in question.
(5) If no other premise appears to be part of the text, is there an implicit premise that it is plausible to ascribe to the author? Here you can often use the mechanical method of arriving at possible implicit premises, which is set out below.
(6) Once you have arrived at the premises and the conclusion for the sub-arguments associated with all of the inference indicators, try to link the sub-arguments together in such a way that every conclusion of a sub-argument - with the exception of the grand conclusion that the argument as a whole is supposed to establish - is a premise in another sub-argument.
(7) Your final goal should be a fully explicit, and logically
organized argument. Such an argument will have the following
features:
(1) It will be a series of statements, and will include all of the premises, both stated and unstated, plus the final conclusion, plus any intermediate conclusions that were used in getting from the premises to final conclusion.(2) It is probably best to place a number in front of each statement, so that it is easy to refer to that statement later on, both within the argument itself, and when one is discussing the argument.
(3) If a statement is a premise, it should be indicated that this is so.
(4) If a statement is not a premise, it must be inferred from one or more earlier statements in the argument, and one should indicate which statements are supposed to entail it. This can be done either by giving the numbers of the statements from which it is supposed to follow, or, as we shall be doing later on, by means of a diagram.
(5) The final statement in the argument will be the grand conclusion.
2. The Idea of Implicit Premises
Let us now look at some of these steps in more detail, starting first with the idea of implicit premises.
The basic point here is that it is often the case that people, in setting out an argument, do not bother to state explicitly all of the premises or assumptions that play an essential role in the argument. Assumptions that are thought by the person in question to be widely shared, and uncontroversial, are likely not to be mentioned. The same in generally true with respect to premises that seem obvious, given the argument as a whole, or the context in which it is being advanced.
As an illustration, consider the following argument, which was used in an earlier discussion of the idea of an inference indicator:
"I have just polished off two six-packs; I am feeling very nauseous; I am unable to get up off the floor, and the rest of the world is spinning around me at something approaching the speed of light. Therefore I am probably slightly drunk."When I say that I have just polished off two six-packs, that I am feeling very nauseous, and so on, and then conclude that I am probably somewhat drunk, it is natural to conclude that the six-packs in question contained beer, rather than, say, mineral water. I did not, of course, explicitly say, at any point, that they contained beer rather than mineral water. None the less, it is reasonable for you to view the claim that they contained beer as one of my unstated premises, since given the context of the argument as a whole, it is easy to see why I should think that it was not something that needed to be explicitly mentioned. If, of course, I am right in front of you, in a lively state, you need merely ask me whether the proposition that the six-packs contained beer was one of the unstated premises of my argument. But if I am no longer around, or have passed out, or you are simply reading the argument when I am not present, there will be no alternative but to interpret the argument, charitably, as involving the unstated premise that the six-packs did contain beer.
3. An Illustration of the Expansion of a Condensed Argument
Let me now illustrate some of the above steps by considering a very simple argument. Suppose that someone says that it is wrong for people to have blood transfusions, and when asked why it is wrong, responds as follows:
"It is wrong to have blood transfusions because the Bible says that God has forbidden us to have blood transfusions."The first step involves a preliminary identification of the logical structure of the argument. Given the brevity of the argument, and the presence of the inference-indicator term, "because", this is relatively straightforward. What precedes the term "because" - namely, the claim that it is wrong to have blood transfusions - must be the conclusion, while what follows - namely, that the Bible says that God has forbidden us to have blood transfusions - must be the premise. So we now have the following argument
The Bible says that God has forbidden us to have blood transfusions.
Therefore: It is wrong to have blood transfusions.
This argument is surely incomplete. So let us move on to the next step, and ask whether there are any assumptions, which the person had in mind, but neglected to state explicitly in the above formulation of the argument. It seems very likely indeed that there are, since it seems likely that if we were to ask a person who had put forward the above argument what connection there is between his claim that the Bible says that God has forbidden us to have blood transfusions, and his claim that it is wrong to have blood transfusions - that is to say, why he thinks that the former provides a reason for accepting the latter - he would respond by saying, first, that if the Bible says that God has forbidden us to have blood transfusions, then God has forbidden us to have blood transfusions, since everything the Bible says is true, and secondly, that if God has forbidden us to have blood transfusions, then it is wrong for us to have blood transfusions, since whatever God forbids is necessarily wrong. In short, it is likely that a person who advanced that above argument would be relying up-on the following two, unstated assumptions:
(i) Everything the Bible says is true;
(ii) Whatever God forbids us to do is wrong.
Given these additional, unstated assumptions, we can now move on to the task of setting out an explicit formulation of the argument as a whole. One way of doing this would be as follows:
(1) The Bible says that God has forbidden us to have blood transfusions. (An explicit premise).
(2) Everything the Bible says is true. (Implicit premise).
(3) God has forbidden us to have blood transfusions.
(An intermediate conclusion, inferred from statements (1) and (2).)
(4) Whatever God forbids us to do is wrong. (An unstated assumption).
(5) It is wrong for us to have blood transfusions. (The final conclusion, inferred from statements (3) and (4).)
4. The Idea of Linking Together Sub-Arguments
Consider the following, very plausible argument:
"All left wingers are aliens! How do I know? Well left wingers must all come from Venus, given that they're women. But you wonder whether left wingers are all women? Well they must be, mustn't they? After all, left wingers are soft-hearted and caring people."In expanding this into a fully explicit argument, the first step is to identify the inference indicators. Here, we have some rather long phrases serving as inference indicators, indicating by the underlining:
"All left wingers are aliens! How do I know? Well left wingers must all come from Venus, given that they're women. But you wonder whether left wingers are all women? Well they must be, mustn't they? After all, left wingers are soft-hearted and caring people."Next, one asks about the type of each inference indicator, and here it appears that each is of the same type as "since" - that is, they are of the following sort:
[Conclusion - Inference Indicator - Premise]
By making use of this information, and selecting material after the inference indictor as the premise, and appropriate material preceding it as the conclusion, one arrives at the following partial statements of the three sub-arguments:
Sub-Argument 1
All left wingers come from Venus
Therefore: All left wingers are aliens
Sub-Argument 2
All left wingers are women
Therefore: All left wingers come from Venus
Sub-Argument 3
All left wingers are soft-hearted and caring people
Therefore: All left wingers are women
In the case of each sub-argument, a premise is missing. The next step, then, is to find, in each case, a second premise that, together with the first premise, might plausibly be viewed as generating the relevant conclusion. Here the most plausible candidates, I think, are as indicated below:
Sub-Argument 1
(1) All left wingers come from Venus [Explicit premise]
(2) All things that come from Venus are aliens [Implicit
premise]
Therefore: (3) All left wingers are aliens
[Grand
conclusion]
Sub-Argument 2
(4) All left wingers are women [Explicit premise]
(5) All women come from Venus [Implicit
premise]
Therefore: (6) All left wingers come from Venus
[Intermediate
conclusion]
Sub-Argument 3
(7) All left wingers are soft-hearted and caring people [Explicit premise]
(8) All soft-hearted and caring people are women
[Implicit
premise]
Therefore: (9) All left wingers are women [Intermediate conclusion]
In the next section, I shall set out a mechanical method of locating missing premises. First, however, I want to introduce the idea of linking together sub-arguments so that the argument as a whole is set out in a logical fashion.
To do this, notice that each of the two intermediate conclusions occurs as a premise in one of the other two arguments. Thus the intermediate conclusion that is statement (6) is identical with statement (1), which is a premise in the first sub-argument. Similarly, the intermediate conclusion that is statement (9) is identical with statement (4), which is a premise in the second sub-argument.
It is possible, because of this, to arrange the above arguments in a series where every step is either a premise, or something that follows from earlier steps. When this is done, the argument as a whole will contain seven statements, since, as we have seen, of the nine statements in the above three sub-arguments, two occur twice.
Here is the rearranged
argument,
with the statements renumbered:
(1) All left wingers are soft-hearted and caring people [Explicit premise]
(2) All soft-hearted and caring people are women
[Implicit
premise]
Therefore: (3) All left wingers are women [From (1) and (2)]
(4) All women come from Venus [Implicit premise]
Therefore: (5) All left wingers come from Venus [From (3) and (4)]
(6) All things that come from Venus are aliens [Implicit
premise]
Therefore: (7) All left wingers are
aliens
[From (5) and (6)]
5. A Mechanical Method for Arriving at Implicit Premises
Consider the first inference in the above argument:
(1) All left wingers are soft-hearted and caring people
(2) All soft-hearted and caring people are women
Therefore: (3) All left wingers are women
This argument has a
certain
logical form, or structure. To see what that structure is,
replacing
the following expressions - "left wingers", "soft-hearted and caring
people",
and "women" by "As", "Bs", and "Cs" respectively. This gives us:
(1) Both of the premises, and the conclusion, begin with the word "all".<> Therefore: (3) All As are Cs(1) All As are Bs(2) All Bs are C
Thus formulated, one can see that the argument has the following features:
(2) No general term occurs in the conclusion unless it occurs in one (but not both) of the premises. Thus the general term "As" occurs in the conclusion and in premise (1), while the general term "Cs" occurs in the conclusion and in premise (2).
(3) One general term - namely, "Bs" does not occur in the conclusion, but it does occur in both premises.
(4) Moreover, that term occurs in a different position in the two premises. In the first premise, "Bs" is in the consequent of the "all" statement, whereas in the second premise it is in the antecedent.
At this point, it is very helpful to have a label for a term that
functions
in the way that "Bs" does in the above argument schema. The label
traditionally used here is "middle term". A middle term can,
then,
be defined as follows:
A middle term is a term that has the following properties:(1) It occurs in both premises;
(2) It does not occur in the conclusion;
(3) In arguments that involve three "all" statements, the term in question occurs in a different position in the two premises - namely, in the antecedent of one, and in the consequent of the other.
The above provides one
with a mechanical method of arriving at missing premises in arguments
of
the relevant sort - that is, that involve three "all" statements.
(Similar methods can be used for arguments with a different logical
form.)
For suppose that one is confronted with an argument with a missing
premise,
such as:
Therefore: (3) All As are Cs(1) All As are Bs(2) ??
Looking at this argument,
one can see that it contains a general term - namely "Bs" - that does
not
occur in the conclusion. That term, accordingly, must be the
middle
term, and so it must occur in both premises. In addition, since
one
is presumably dealing with an argument that involves three "all"
statements,
one knows that the middle term must occur in a different position in
the
two premises. So this allows us to partially fill in the missing
second premise:
Therefore: (3) All As are Cs(1) All As are Bs(2) All Bs are ??
Next, one knows that
in arguments of the sort we are considering - and which are referred to
as syllogistic arguments - any general terms that occur in the
conclusion
just occur in one of the premises. (This is not true of other
types
of arguments.) This means that since the term "Cs" occurs in the
conclusion, it must also occur in one of the premises. There is,
however, only one place that is still blank. Putting the term
"Cs"
in that location then gives us the following argument, in which the
missing
second premise has been completely identified:
Therefore: (3) All As are Cs
(1) All As are Bs(2) All Bs are Cs
Finally, suppose,
instead,
that it was the premise at (1) that was missing, so that all that we
had
was:
Therefore: (3) All As are Cs(1) ??(2) All Bs are Cs
Looking at this argument,
one can see that it, too, contains a general term - namely "Bs" - that
does not occur in the conclusion. That term, accordingly, must be
the middle term, and so it must occur in both premises. Moreover,
since one is presumably dealing with an argument that involves three
"all"
statements, one knows that the middle term must occur in a different
position
in the two premises. So this allows us to partially fill in the
missing
second premise:
Therefore: (3) All As are Cs(1) All ?? are Bs(2) All Bs are Cs
Next, one knows that in
syllogistic
arguments that any general terms that occur in the conclusion just
occur
in one of the premises. (This is not true of other types of
arguments.)
This means that since the term "As" occurs in the conclusion, it must
also
occur in one of the premises. There is, however, only one place
that
is still blank. Putting the term "As" in that location then gives
us the following argument, in which the missing premise has once again
been completely identified:
Therefore: (3) All As are Cs(1) All As are Bs(2) All Bs are Cs