Policy Benefits (Damage Reduction): Overview
Having incurred some costs and had some impact on emissions,
we now need to think about what we "are getting for our money" (for our
resources--remember dollars don't clean up the environment; labor, capital
and other resources do!). Knowing what we're getting for our money
(the benefits of the policy) is, however, much more difficult than knowing
what the costs of the policy are. In part, this is because the costs
come quite naturally, in most cases, in the form of dollars--a catalytic
converter has a certain price that captures all, or most, of the labor,
capital and other costs of producing it. Maintenance costs due to
the policy are also fairly accurately estimated, although a common criticism
by environmentalists (validity? Discuss) is that cost estimates are overstated
by failing to incorporate mass-production and learning-by-doing economies
that are usually present when new technologies are employed.
The benefits of a policy are more uncertain for
many reasons. We will find many examples where the approaches taken
toward estimating the benefits of clean-up result in understated
benefits--that is, the true benefits are likely to be higher (in some cases
much higher) than the estimated benefits. But, there are cases also
where an approach may overstate the benefits of cleaning-up.
We will discuss these examples in the context of four broad approaches
to estimating the benefits of an environmental policy.
-
Surveys/Interviews ("contingent valuation," "conjoint analysis," etc. are
fancy names used)
-
Referenda (voting for or against some proposed environmental legislation--the
California approach)
-
Sum-of-Specific Damages (ascertaining all changes in physical effects resulting
from policy--e.g. more healthy days--and attaching a value to those effects
and adding them all up)
-
Using Known Relationships Between Ordinary Goods and Environmental Goods
(hedonic analysis in the land market, hedonic analysis in the labor market,
and travel cost methods)
Each of these approaches has pros and cons from the
perspective of obtaining useful information for valuing environmental improvements.
We will see that the role of perceptions of environmental damage is critical
to our choice of preferred valuation technique(s).
NOTE: I would be remiss if I did not remind you
again here about some basic philosophical points discussed at the outset.
Taking the view that we "don't need to even look at the benefits because
incurring the costs to clean up the environment is our moral or religious
duty" will definitely cause your input to be ignored by anybody with
policymaking power in this country at this time. Benefit-Cost
analysis is now (as of an early 1980s mandate published in the Federal
Register) required of all policies having a significant impact on the economy,
and this situation is unlikely to change (Discuss--it offers the promise
of replicating for publicly-supplied goods the efficiency benefits of private
markets). That is, if you won't play by the "rules of the game" now
underlying environmental policy-setting, you won't be allowed to play at
all--your voice will be unheard. But, on a more positive note, you
will find in our discussion a great many ways to argue that environmental
benefits are frequently underestimated--often by truly remarkable amounts!
Let's get on with it then and begin understanding how to think about quantifying
environmental benefits of a policy.