Using Known Relationships Between Ordinary Goods and Environmental Goods
In a sense, the preceding "sum-of-specific damages"
approach could have been classified as going here--a damaged person visits
the hospital (the ordinary good) when the pollution levels go up.
But, a rather different, more indirect, approach is envisioned under this
category. There are three primary sub-approaches to discuss:
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Property-Value Differential Hedonic Valuations
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Wage Differential Hedonic Valuations
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Travel Cost Valuations
Property-Value Differential Hedonic Valuations
The notion underlying property-value studies is that
the value of a home (sales price or rent) will be related to the traits
that that home possesses. Consider the typical real estate listing:
it will contain information about the structural traits of the home
(stone or wood, # baths, # bedrooms, age, type of heat, square footage,
family room, garage, special features, etc.) and about the traits of the
neighborhood in which the home is located (schools, quiet, access
to the city, access to ocean or mountains, crime, etc.). Those traits
will, collectively, determine the value of the home--this is what people
have in mind when they say "putting in another bathroom will pay for itself"
(That is, the value of the home will rise by the cost of adding the bathroom).
But, one of the traits that people care about is environmental quality--a
home in a polluted area will rent or sell for a smaller amount than will
a home in a cleaner area. If we can determine how much people
are willing to pay for the same home in a clean location versus a dirty
location, we will have a measure of exactly what we want, the marginal
dollar willingness-to-pay for environmental quality, which can then
be compared to the dollar marginal cost of environmental quality.
The process:
1) Obtain as much information as possible about
the determinants of the property value of each house in a sample (structural,
neighborhood, and environmental quality) along with its property value--ideally
an actual sales price.
2) Statistically relate the property value (as the
dependent variable) to its determinants (the independent variables already
discussed). Note that this examination involves many possible functional
forms--non-linearities, synergisms, etc. may be important. That there
is little theoretical guidance on the functional form which presents problems
and sometimes enables advocates to publish very different conclusions from
identical
data!
3) The coefficients on the environmental quality
variables depict how much impact a given change in EQ will have on property
value. That is, the trade-off between environmental quality and other
goods can be directly measured.
Problems: If some other amenities are correlated
with the environmental measure--and omitted from the equation--the
value of the environment is likely to be overstated. For example,
suppose that the more polluted parts of a city are also less desirable
for several other reasons (more crime, worse schools, more graffiti, worse
streets, poor lighting, fewer parks, etc.) and these other "bads" are not
included in the equation. By not including the other bads that are
correlated with pollution, the impact of pollution will seem to
be larger than it is, effectively attributing to pollution the effects
of the other non-included variables. [Technically, the bias on the
pollution coefficient will be the coefficient on the omitted variable times
the correlation of that variable with the included pollution variable].
But, on the other hand, suppose that people don't
fully
perceive either the impact of pollution on their health and well-being
or how the pollution levels vary across locations. This is plausible--even
the "experts" have widely varying opinions about the amount of damage stemming
from pollution (see discussion of sum-of-specific damages). And,
since many pollutants are odorless, colorless, and tasteless in ambient
concentrations commonly encountered, it might be difficult for the average
person to even know whether a particular house is in a high-pollution or
low-pollution location. If buyers don't properly perceive all
of the damages from pollution or if they can't tell which locations are
dirtier, the benefits estimated by this approach will be
understated.
What is the net effect?
Nobody knows with any certainty. There are, however, many studies
showing strong relationships between property values and pollution.
This approach is particularly useful for valuing spatially concentrated
environmental damages--e.g. the impact of toxic waste dumps (Superfund
sites) on surrounding land values. As we shall see, however, the
situation is quite a bit more complicated than it seems to this point.
Wage Differential Hedonic Valuation
A quite similar technique goes about the hedonic valuation
of environmental quality by looking at labor markets, rather than land
markets. The idea is that some labor market regions are more polluted
than others, and that people will have to be compensated for the pollution
they experience to be willing to work in dirtier cities. That is,
if City A (one of two otherwise identical cities) has higher pollution
levels than City B, residents would move from A to B reducing the labor
supply in A (raising wages) while increasing the labor supply in B (lowering
wages). The movements would continue to occur until the wage differential
just compensated people for the higher pollution in City A. Again,
if this approach seems plausible, it has the desirable feature of getting
exactly what we want, the marginal willingness-to-pay in dollar terms,
which can then be compared to the marginal costs of policies yielding that
amount of cleanness. The process:
1) Obtain as much data as possible on the determinants
of wages for people at various locations (education, experience, age, occupation,
etc.) and their wages along with measures of pollution levels in those
locations.
2) Statistically relate the wage (as the dependent
variable) to its determinants (the independent variables already discussed).
As noted for property values, there is little guidance on functional form
(linearity, interactions among variables, etc.), offering the possibility
that advocates will distort the information by their choices.
3) The coefficients on the environmental quality
variable will indicate how much impact a given change in environmental
quality will have on wages. Again, the trade-off between environmental
goods and other goods can be directly measured.
As with property value studies, values generated
in this way can either overstate (omitted other "bads" that are correlated
with pollution) or understate (the pollution differences are not perceived
or people don't know how pollution affects them) the true benefits of cleaning
up. As with property values, however, a large number of wage studies
indicate that the environment does matter to people--they give up wages
to live in cleaner locations.
Wage and Property Value Differentials Are Not Alternatives
Until fairly recently, the preceding hedonic approaches
to valuing environmental improvements were viewed as alternative approaches.
That is, one could find out what clean air was worth either by examining
property value variation in land markets or by examining wage variation
in labor markets...but not both. It turns out that this is incorrect
under plausible assumptions about peoples' behavior when evaluating locations.
Indeed, for this view to be valid, it must be the case that people follow
a two-stage procedure in picking a location. First, only
look at wages (and average pollution levels), they decide among alternative
labor markets; only then, having settled on a labor market, do they select
a location based on housing price (and pollution) variation within that
area. Yet, clearly one would do much better in general to look at
the combination of wages, rents, and amenities available prior to
selecting their location. Another way to think about this is that,
between two otherwise identical locations, the one that is more polluted
will be less attractive--so, people will move from the more-polluted to
the less-polluted location until they are equally well off in both locations.
But, as they move into the less-polluted location they both increase the
supply of labor (driving down wages) and increase the demand for
land (driving up rents). Hence, the "true" value of the less-polluted
locations is the sum of what is being paid for reduced pollution
in both markets! Thus, the "Quality-of-Life" as ranked by
publications such as Rand-McNally can be compared (unfavorably!) to the
QofL as viewed by economists (willingness-to-pay for "niceness" in both
land and labor markets). We will develop these arguments more carefully
in class with a series of progressively more complicated models.
The process:
1) Start with "flat, featureless plain," where all
locations are literally identical (initial situation--like S&D--GRAPH)
2) Introduce a nicer location and consider the new
equilibrium (wages lower and rents higher as people move in).
3) Introduce variations in desirability from firm
perspective (nicer locations will have higher wages and rents).
4) Discuss various combinations of consumer and
firm amenities, graphing the permutations (many GRAPHS).
5) Introduce people and firm differences, noting
what difference heterogeneity makes.
NOTE: The implication is that efforts to value environmental
(and other) amenities in land markets or labor markets separately
are flawed and lead, generally, to understatement of the values
we place on environmental goods (and other amenities that we consume).
Travel Cost Methods
Travel cost methods of valuing environmental goods depend
on the following presumption: the value of the things we visit must be
at least as great as the full cost of getting there. Imagine, for
example, a world comprised of zones around some natural wonder (e.g. the
Grand Canyon). Those nearer would be expected to have higher visitation
rates than those farther away, since they have lower costs of visiting
the site. One can calculate the cost of visiting the site for people
in any zone, using explicit out-of-pocket costs, implicit time costs (big--Discuss
how determined), any entrance fees, etc. and relate that to visitation
rates--lower rates will be observed and, in this way, a demand curve can
be generated. The "value" of the natural, then, is the area under
the demand curve. Problems: multiple visit trips, lower-bound nature
of numbers--benefits must be "at least" that amount, but might be substantially
higher.